Somebody has to snap out of it. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) carry a five-game losing streak into Starkville, while Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) have dropped four straight of their own, setting up a Saturday, November 7, 2026 matchup at Davis Wade Stadium between two teams desperate to find the win column again.
Game details
| When | Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET |
| Where | Davis Wade Stadium |
| TV | SEC Network |
| Line | Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 | O/U 48.5 (market view) |
| Vanderbilt Commodores record | 3-5 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs record | 4-4 |
The matchup
Vanderbilt's skid has been brutal across the board. The Commodores lost 17-34 to Kentucky Wildcats, 21-31 to Arkansas Razorbacks, 17-52 to Ole Miss Rebels, 14-38 to Georgia Bulldogs and 15-21 to Auburn Tigers in that order, a stretch that has them outscored 182 to 242 on the season. Nothing has gone right, and the margins have only gotten uglier as the losses piled up.
Mississippi State's slide reads just as rough. The Bulldogs fell 3-31 to Texas Longhorns, 15-23 to Oklahoma Sooners, 0-31 to LSU Tigers and 23-56 to Alabama Crimson Tide, with their lone recent bright spot a 31-24 win over Missouri Tigers back in week four. Mississippi State sits at 213 points for and 225 against on the year, numbers that put them a shade closer to .500 in scoring than Vanderbilt despite the matching funk.
Key matchups
No individual stat lines or starters are available for this one, so this comes down to which losing streak breaks first. Mississippi State's defense has been gashed in bunches during its skid, surrendering 31 points or more in three of its last four outings, including back-to-back shutout-level efforts allowed against LSU and Texas. Vanderbilt's issue has been even more lopsided, getting outscored by wide margins in four of its last five, which puts real pressure on whichever unit can find a spark early and avoid digging the same kind of hole that has buried both teams lately.
The pick
The market has Mississippi State favored by 3.0 with a total of 48.5, and the market score sits at Mississippi State Bulldogs 26, Vanderbilt Commodores 23. That lines up with a home team that has at least shown it can move the ball against Missouri earlier this season, even while buried in its own four-game skid. Vanderbilt's five straight losses and lopsided scoring differential make it tough to find a reason to buck the number, but neither team has looked good enough lately to call this one a lock in either direction.
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | Wk8 L 17-34 vs Kentucky Wildcats, Wk7 L 21-31 vs Arkansas Razorbacks, Wk6 L 17-52 vs Ole Miss Rebels |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | Wk9 L 3-31 vs Texas Longhorns, Wk8 L 15-23 vs Oklahoma Sooners, Wk7 L 0-31 vs LSU Tigers |
Written by Cole Saturday, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores and box scores), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.