Texas State brings a one-game winning streak into a matchup against a Fresno State team that just dropped its last one.
Both the Texas State Bobcats and Fresno State Bulldogs sit at 5-4 heading into Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UFCU Stadium. Texas State carries a W1 streak after its most recent result, while Fresno State comes in on an L1 skid.
Game details
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where | UFCU Stadium |
| TV | CW |
| Line | Texas State Bobcats -10 | O/U 59.5 (market view) |
| Fresno State Bulldogs record | 5-4 |
| Texas State Bobcats record | 5-4 |
The matchup
Fresno State has split its last five, with wins over Oregon State Beavers and Washington State Cougars mixed in with losses to Utah State Aggies, San Diego State Aztecs and Boise State Broncos. The Bulldogs' last time out was a 10-17 loss to Utah State on the road on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a step back after a 38-22 win over Oregon State the week before.
Texas State has been the more prolific scoring team this season, racking up 347 points against 277 allowed. The Bobcats are coming off a 42-21 road win over Oregon State and have wins over Utah State (20-17) and Colorado State (66-27) mixed into their recent stretch, with their only blemish in that span a 45-46 loss to Boise State.
Key matchups
With the total set at 59.5, this one is shaping up as a track meet based on both teams' recent scoring. Texas State put up 66 points against Colorado State and 42 against Oregon State in its last two home-and-road wins, numbers that suggest an offense capable of hanging points in bunches.
Fresno State's defense will need to find an answer for that kind of output after allowing 38 points to Boise State and 26 to San Diego State in losses earlier this season. On the other side, the Bulldogs' offense has been inconsistent, managing just 10 points in last week's loss to Utah State after scoring 38 the week before against Oregon State.
The pick
The market has Texas State favored by 10.0 points with a projected score of 35-25, and the numbers back that up. Texas State is scoring more and has shown it can put up points in bunches, while Fresno State is walking in off a loss in which it managed just 10 points.
The Bobcats' home win streak and offensive firepower give them the edge here, though Fresno State has shown it can score when its offense clicks, as it did against Oregon State and Washington State.
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | Wk10 L 10-17 vs Utah State Aggies, Wk9 W 38-22 vs Oregon State Beavers, Wk7 L 23-26 vs San Diego State Aztecs |
| Texas State Bobcats | Wk10 W 42-21 vs Oregon State Beavers, Wk9 L 45-46 vs Boise State Broncos, Wk8 W 20-17 vs Utah State Aggies |
Written by Cole Saturday, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores and box scores), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.