Memphis looks to make it three straight while South Florida tries to stop the bleeding at home on Thursday night.
Memphis enters at 7-2 on a two-game winning streak (W2). South Florida sits at 6-3 having dropped its last game, a one-game slide (L1).
Game details
| When | Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET |
| Where | Raymond James Stadium |
| TV | ESPN |
| Line | Memphis Tigers -3.5 | O/U 50.5 (market view) |
| Memphis Tigers record | 7-2 |
| South Florida Bulls record | 6-3 |
The matchup
Memphis has been rolling behind its offense lately. The Tigers put up 49-22 on Army Black Knights in their most recent outing, following a 41-34 win over East Carolina Pirates. Before that stretch sits a 17-31 loss to Tulane Green Wave, but Memphis bounced back with a 38-13 win over UAB Blazers and a 59-8 blowout of Charlotte 49ers.
South Florida's form has been choppier. The Bulls dropped their last game 17-20 to East Carolina Pirates on the road, a result that snapped momentum built from a 30-10 win over UAB Blazers and a 29-2 win over Kent State Golden Flashes. Sandwiched in that run was a 24-31 loss to UTSA Roadrunners and a 13-17 loss to Temple Owls, so the Bulls have been streaky all season.
Key matchups
This one comes down to Memphis's offense against South Florida's defense. The Tigers have put up 338 points on the season, and they'll be testing a South Florida defense that has allowed just 136 points all year, the stingiest number on either side of this matchup.
Flip it around and South Florida's offense, which has scored 233 points this season, will need to find room against a Memphis defense that has given up 212. Whichever unit wins its side of that battle probably decides who's celebrating Thursday night.
The pick
Memphis is favored by 3.5 points, and the market has this one at 27-24 in the Tigers' favor with a total of 50.5. Memphis's offensive output this season backs that number up, and the two-game winning streak suggests the Tigers have found some rhythm at the right time.
South Florida's home crowd and a defense that's allowed the fewest points in this matchup give the Bulls a path, but coming off a loss and facing a Memphis team playing with momentum is a tough combination to overcome. The market's view favors Memphis, and nothing in the recent form says otherwise.
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers | Wk9 W 49-22 vs Army Black Knights, Wk8 W 41-34 vs East Carolina Pirates, Wk7 L 17-31 vs Tulane Green Wave |
| South Florida Bulls | Wk10 L 17-20 vs East Carolina Pirates, Wk9 W 30-10 vs UAB Blazers, Wk7 W 29-2 vs Kent State Golden Flashes |
Written by Cole Saturday, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores and box scores), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.