Miami brings a perfect record and a five-game winning streak into a home date with a Florida State team looking to shake off its first loss in three weeks.
The Miami Hurricanes sit at 5-0 and have won five straight. The Florida State Seminoles are 3-3 and dropped their last game, putting them on a one-game losing streak heading into Saturday, October 17, 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium.
Game details
| When | Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where | Hard Rock Stadium |
| TV | ESPN |
| Line | Miami Hurricanes -20.5 | O/U 56.5 (market view) |
| Florida State Seminoles record | 3-3 |
| Miami Hurricanes record | 5-0 |
The matchup
Florida State's season has been a string of ups and downs. The Seminoles lost 20-44 to the Louisville Cardinals in their most recent outing, but before that they beat the Virginia Cavaliers 38-7 and the Central Arkansas Bears 34-7. Sandwiched in the losses are a 36-50 defeat to the Alabama Crimson Tide and a 24-27 setback against the SMU Mustangs. Three wins, three losses, and no real consistency to point to.
Miami has had no such problems. The Hurricanes have won every game this season, including a 41-13 handling of the Clemson Tigers, a 52-3 blowout of the Central Michigan Chippewas, a 33-20 win over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, a 77-7 rout of the Florida A&M Rattlers, and a 45-6 win against the Stanford Cardinal. Five games, five wins, and the margins have mostly been lopsided.
Key matchups
This one comes down to Miami's defense against a Florida State offense that's been inconsistent through six weeks. The Hurricanes have allowed just 49 points all season, a number that's hard to find at any level of college football. Florida State has scored 186 points on the year, so there's firepower there, but it hasn't shown up against the tougher defenses on the schedule.
On the other side, Florida State's defense has given up 152 points this season and now has to deal with a Miami offense that's put up 248. If the Seminoles can't find a way to slow that attack down, it could be a long night in Miami Gardens.
The pick
Miami is favored by 20.5 points with a total set at 56.5, and the market score has the Hurricanes at 39 and the Seminoles at 18. Given Miami's five-game win streak and the gap in points allowed this season, the Hurricanes have the clear edge here. Florida State's recent loss to Louisville and uneven scoring margin make it tough to see the Seminoles keeping pace on the road.
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | Wk6 L 20-44 vs Louisville Cardinals, Wk5 W 38-7 vs Virginia Cavaliers, Wk4 W 34-7 vs Central Arkansas Bears |
| Miami Hurricanes | Wk5 W 41-13 vs Clemson Tigers, Wk4 W 52-3 vs Central Michigan Chippewas, Wk3 W 33-20 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
In this story
Written by Cole Saturday, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores and box scores), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.