Kansas State rides a one-game winning streak into Tempe, and the betting market says this one could come down to the final possession.
Kansas State Wildcats enter at 4-2 on a one-game winning streak after beating Kansas Jayhawks 35-24 last week. Arizona State Sun Devils enter at 3-3 on a one-game losing streak, coming off a 25-53 loss to Texas Tech Red Raiders.
Game details
| When | Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET |
| Where | Mountain America Stadium |
| TV | ESPN2 |
| Line | Kansas State Wildcats -2 | O/U 55.5 (market view) |
| Kansas State Wildcats record | 4-2 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils record | 3-3 |
The matchup
Kansas State's last five games have bounced around: a win over Kansas Jayhawks, a loss to Houston Cougars, a loss to Cincinnati Bearcats, then wins over Tulane Green Wave and Washington State Cougars. The Wildcats have scored 213 points and allowed 120 across their six games, numbers that suggest a defense that can keep them in most weeks even when the offense stalls.
Arizona State's recent stretch has been just as uneven. The Sun Devils lost to Texas Tech Red Raiders, beat Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, lost to Baylor Bears, beat Kansas Jayhawks, then lost to Texas A&M Aggies. Arizona State has been outscored on the season, 192 points allowed against 188 scored, and the Texas Tech loss was their most lopsided result in that stretch.
Key matchups
This one sets up as Kansas State's defense, which has allowed just 120 points through six games, against an Arizona State offense that has managed 188 points of its own. If the Wildcats' defense holds up the way it has most of the season, it could be the deciding factor.
On the other side, Arizona State's defense has given up 192 points this season, and it will need to find a way to slow down a Kansas State offense that has put up 213 points so far. How that unit responds after allowing 53 to Texas Tech last week is worth watching.
The pick
The market has Kansas State as a two-point favorite with a total of 55.5, and the market score sits at Kansas State Wildcats 29, Arizona State Sun Devils 27. That points to a game expected to go down to the wire.
Kansas State's defensive numbers and its current one-game winning streak give it a slight edge, but Arizona State has shown it can win games this season when its offense gets going, as it did against Kansas Jayhawks and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors. Expect this one to be closer than a blowout in either direction.
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats | Wk7 W 35-24 vs Kansas Jayhawks, Wk6 L 16-35 vs Houston Cougars, Wk4 L 26-31 vs Cincinnati Bearcats |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | Wk7 L 25-53 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders, Wk6 W 30-12 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, Wk5 L 19-55 vs Baylor Bears |
Written by Cole Saturday, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores and box scores), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.