Western Michigan tries to stop the bleeding at home against a Bowling Green team that's lost six of its last seven.
Western Michigan Broncos enter at 5-3 on a one-game losing streak after a 38-45 defeat to Toledo. Bowling Green Falcons sit at 2-6, dropping their last two games.
Game details
| When | Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET |
| Where | Waldo Stadium |
| TV | CBSSN |
| Line | Western Michigan Broncos -13.5 | O/U 44.5 (market view) |
| Bowling Green Falcons record | 2-6 |
| Western Michigan Broncos record | 5-3 |
The matchup
Western Michigan had won three straight before the loss to Toledo Rockets, beating Buffalo Bulls 20-17, Kent State Golden Flashes 38-7 and Central Michigan Chippewas 21-14 in that stretch. The Toledo game snapped that run, a 38-45 final that put the Broncos on their current one-game skid.
Bowling Green has gone the other direction. A 31-32 loss to Ball State Cardinals in week seven was followed by a 24-31 defeat to Buffalo Bulls last week, extending the Falcons' slide to two straight. Before that stretch Bowling Green had wins over Sacramento State Hornets (38-10) and Miami (OH) RedHawks (24-20), so this isn't a team that's been bad all year, just bad lately.
Key matchups
The numbers point to a mismatch on paper. Western Michigan's offense has put up 213 points this season against a Bowling Green defense that's allowed 238, the shakiest scoring defense in this matchup by a wide margin.
On the other side, Bowling Green's offense has managed just 150 points all season, and it's running into a Western Michigan defense that has allowed only 163. If the Falcons can't find points early, this one could get away from them.
The pick
Western Michigan Broncos are favored by 13.5 with a total of 44.5, and the market score sits at 29-16 in the Broncos' favor. That number lines up with the shape of each team's season: Western Michigan's defense has been stingy while Bowling Green has struggled to score and finish close games, losing by one point to Ball State and by seven to Buffalo in its last two outings.
Western Michigan's recent loss to Toledo is a reminder this team isn't unbeatable at home, but Bowling Green's road form and its current two-game skid make it tough to pick against the number as set.
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | Wk8 L 24-31 vs Buffalo Bulls, Wk7 L 31-32 vs Ball State Cardinals, Wk6 W 38-10 vs Sacramento State Hornets |
| Western Michigan Broncos | Wk8 L 38-45 vs Toledo Rockets, Wk7 W 21-14 vs Central Michigan Chippewas, Wk6 W 38-7 vs Kent State Golden Flashes |
Written by Cole Saturday, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores and box scores), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.