The Baltimore Ravens roll into Atlanta on a two-game winning streak but without the one guy who makes this offense go, and that changes everything about Sunday night.

Game details

WhenSunday, October 11, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
WhereMercedes-Benz Stadium
TVNBC
LineAtlanta Falcons -3 | O/U 43.5 (market view)
Baltimore Ravens record3-1
Atlanta Falcons record2-2

Overview

The Ravens sit at 3-1 and have scored 116 points while allowing 96 through four weeks, riding wins over the Indianapolis Colts, Dallas Cowboys and Tennessee Titans sandwiched around a loss to the New Orleans Saints. The Atlanta Falcons are 2-2 but have found their footing lately, blowing out the Green Bay Packers 35-14 and then hanging 45 on the Saints last week. Both teams carry win streaks of two into this one, which should make for a scrappy Sunday night matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The headline here is Lamar Jackson. He is out with an ankle injury, which flips this game on its head for Baltimore. Derrick Henry becomes the engine of this offense by default, and the Ravens will need their defense and special teams to pick up slack they haven't had to carry much this season. Zay Flowers is questionable with a foot issue, adding more uncertainty to a passing attack that just lost its quarterback.

The market has Atlanta as three-point favorites with a total of 43.5, and the projected score has the Falcons winning 23-20. That lines up with what's in front of us: Baltimore's running game and defense are strong enough to keep this close, but losing Jackson is the kind of thing that tips a pick-'em into a slight home-field advantage for Atlanta.

Key players

Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens - ruled out with an ankle injury, which is the single biggest storyline of this game for Baltimore.

Derrick Henry, RB, Ravens - now the focal point of the Baltimore offense and projected for 18.5 DraftKings points.

Zay Flowers, WR, Ravens - questionable with a foot injury, and his availability will shape how much juice is left in the Baltimore passing game.

Bijan Robinson, RB, Falcons - the engine of Atlanta's offense, projected for a team-high 24.5 DraftKings points.

Drake London, WR, Falcons - Michael Penix Jr.'s top target and projected for 15.0 DraftKings points.

Keys to the game

Lean hard on Derrick Henry early and often since Lamar Jackson is out and the ground game has to carry the offense.

Protect whoever is under center with Cam Jurgens out at center and Andrew Vorhees questionable, because a shaky offensive line gets exposed fast without Jackson's mobility to bail it out.

Keep Bijan Robinson out of the end zone, since he is Atlanta's clear focal point and the Falcons will look to feed him close to the goal line.

Fantasy angles

Start Derrick Henry with confidence. He is projected for 18.5 DraftKings points and now carries the entire offensive load with Jackson out, which should mean more goal-line work, not less.

Zay Flowers is a game-time watch given his questionable foot status; his 17.5 projection assumes he plays, so check inactives before trusting him in lineups.

Mark Andrews is a touchdown-or-bust option at his 7.5 projection. Without Jackson slinging it, he's a streaming tight end play at best this week.

Tyler Loop is a fine fill-in kicker option at an 8.5 projection, especially if this offense bogs down in the red zone without its starting quarterback.

Lamar Jackson is out and should be benched or dropped in shallower leagues for the week; there's no case for rostering an inactive quarterback.

Prediction

The market has this one going Atlanta Falcons 23, Baltimore Ravens 20, and that feels about right. Derrick Henry can keep the Ravens competitive and their defense has been good enough to make this a game, but asking a backup quarterback to go on the road against a Falcons team riding consecutive blowout wins is a tall order. Baltimore stays in it, but Atlanta's home-field edge and healthier quarterback situation get them to the finish line first.

Injury report

PlayerTeamPosStatus
Zay FlowersBaltimore RavensWRQuestionable
Lamar JacksonBaltimore RavensQBOut
Andrew VorheesBaltimore RavensOGQuestionable
Trey HendricksonBaltimore RavensLBOut
Marlon HumphreyBaltimore RavensCBQuestionable
Cam JurgensBaltimore RavensCOut
Yasir AbdullahAtlanta FalconsLBOut
Jake MatthewsAtlanta FalconsOTQuestionable
Divine DeabloAtlanta FalconsLBQuestionable
Samson EbukamAtlanta FalconsDEQuestionable
Za'Darius SmithAtlanta FalconsDEQuestionable

Depth chart

PosBaltimore Ravens
QBLamar Jackson
RBDerrick Henry, Justice Hill
WRZay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Devontez Walker
TEMark Andrews

Recent results

TeamLast games
Baltimore RavensWk4 W 24-18 vs Tennessee Titans, Wk3 W 34-31 vs Dallas Cowboys, Wk2 L 17-24 vs New Orleans Saints

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In this story

Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.