Week 4 NFL Pick'em Picks

Rhett Zone's week 4 picks

Survivor pick: Baltimore Ravens

Survivor pick: Baltimore Ravens over Tennessee at home. Market's got the Ravens near 85 percent, the clearest number on the board, and this is where survivor pools get decided — take the gap while it's there, not when it tightens later in the year.

Closest call on the board is Atlanta at New Orleans, nearly a coin flip at 53 percent for the Saints. That's as thin as it gets, so don't anchor your confidence rankings there. Jacksonville at Cincinnati is next closest, Bengals favored at just under 57 — razor-thin home edge, no cushion if Jacksonville's offense finds a rhythm in the red zone early. Pittsburgh-Cleveland is in the same tier, Steelers at 57, a game that can flip on one goal-to-go stop. Houston over Dallas rounds out the tight ones at 58 — all three of those are must-win mentality games if you're chasing confidence points, not games to bank margin on.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

• PIT at CLE: Pittsburgh Steelers
• IND at WSH: Indianapolis Colts
• NE at BUF: Buffalo Bills
• NYJ at CHI: Chicago Bears
• JAX at CIN: Cincinnati Bengals
• ARI at NYG: Arizona Cardinals
• LAR at PHI: Los Angeles Rams
• GB at TB: Green Bay Packers
• TEN at BAL: Baltimore Ravens
• DAL at HOU: Houston Texans
• MIA at MIN: Minnesota Vikings
• KC at LV: Kansas City Chiefs
• DEN at SF: San Francisco 49ers
• LAC at SEA: Seattle Seahawks
• DET at CAR: Detroit Lions
• ATL at NO: New Orleans Saints

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst), from the market's win chances. For fun, not betting advice.