Drake Maye and the New England Patriots try to rebound from a Week 7 loss against a Miami Dolphins defense allowing 157 points this season.
Game details
| When | Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET |
| Where | Hard Rock Stadium |
| TV | CBS |
| Line | New England Patriots -7 | O/U 43.5 (market view) |
| New England Patriots record | 4-3 |
| Miami Dolphins record | 1-5 |
Overview
The New England Patriots sit at 4-3 and currently carry a one-game losing streak after falling 24-30 to the Chicago Bears on Thursday, October 22. Before that stumble they won three straight — 26-19 over the New York Jets, 45-17 over the Las Vegas Raiders and 29-26 at the Buffalo Bills — before an earlier 6-35 loss at the Jacksonville Jaguars. New England has scored 160 points and allowed 143 on the year. Wide receiver A.J. Brown is questionable with an ankle injury and running back TreVeyon Henderson is questionable with an illness heading into this one.
The Miami Dolphins are 1-5 but enter on a one-game winning streak after a 28-25 win at the Jets. Before that they dropped four straight: 24-31 to the Cincinnati Bengals, 10-15 at the Minnesota Vikings, 10-24 to the Kansas City Chiefs and 13-35 at the San Francisco 49ers. Miami has scored just 98 points while allowing 157.
The market has New England favored by 7.0 with a total of 43.5, and that lines up with the gap on paper — a Patriots offense averaging more points per game against a Dolphins team that's been outscored by a wide margin through six games gives New England the clear edge here.
Key players
Drake Maye threw for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns with a 117.8 rating and added a rushing score in Week 7, and he's chasing his fifth straight game with 235-plus pass yards and multiple touchdown passes.
Rhamondre Stevenson paced the offense with 115 scrimmage yards last week, including a career-high 93 receiving yards, and has topped 70 scrimmage yards with a touchdown in three of his last four games.
DeMario Douglas is projected for 10.0 DraftKings points and remains part of New England's starting receiver group alongside Brown.
Hunter Henry caught 7 passes for 71 yards in Week 7 and is aiming for his third straight home game with a receiving touchdown.
Andy Borregales is projected for 7.9 DraftKings points as New England's placekicker.
Keys to the game
New England has to slow down Miami's ground game, with Ollie Gordon coming off a career-high 103 rushing yards and a touchdown last week.
The offensive line needs to keep Maye clean against a Dolphins pass rush that got to the quarterback last week through Chop Robinson's sack and Malik Herring's first sack of the season.
Stevenson and Henderson need to stay productive on the ground to control the clock in drizzly, 12-mph wind conditions at Hard Rock Stadium.
Fantasy angles
Start Drake Maye with confidence — he's projected for 22.5 DraftKings points and is coming off a 321-yard, 2-touchdown outing against Chicago.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a strong start at 12.0 projected points given his run of 70-plus scrimmage yards and a touchdown in three of his last four games.
DeMario Douglas is a reasonable flex option at 10.0 projected points in an offense that's been moving the ball well.
Hunter Henry is a streamable tight end at 9.5 points as he chases a third straight home game with a touchdown catch.
Andy Borregales is in play as a kicker option given the 43.5 total and New England's 7-point favorite status.
Prediction
The market lists a projected score of New England Patriots 25, Miami Dolphins 18, matching the 7.0-point spread and lining up under the 43.5 total. That number reflects a Patriots team capable of moving the ball consistently against a Dolphins defense that has struggled to keep teams off the scoreboard, while Miami's offense, even on a one-game winning streak, has not shown enough scoring punch to close that kind of gap.
Injury report
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Brown | WR | Questionable |
| Carlton Davis III | CB | Questionable |
| Christian Elliss | LB | Questionable |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | Questionable |
Depth chart
Offense
| Pos | New England Patriots |
|---|---|
| QB | Drake Maye |
| RB | Rhamondre Stevenson |
| FB | Reggie Gilliam |
| WR | A.J. Brown, DeMario Douglas, Efton Chism III |
| TE | Hunter Henry |
| LT | Will Campbell |
| LG | Walter Rouse |
| C | Jared Wilson |
| RG | Ben Brown |
| RT | Morgan Moses |
Defense
| Pos | New England Patriots |
|---|---|
| LDE | Christian Barmore |
| NT | Cory Durden |
| RDE | Milton Williams |
| WLB | Elijah Ponder |
| LILB | Christian Elliss |
| RILB | Robert Spillane |
| SLB | Dre'Mont Jones |
| LCB | Carlton Davis III |
| RCB | Christian Gonzalez |
| NB | Marcus Jones |
| SS | Craig Woodson |
| FS | Kevin Byard |
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| New England Patriots | Wk7 L 24-30 vs Chicago Bears, Wk6 W 26-19 vs New York Jets, Wk5 W 45-17 vs Las Vegas Raiders |
Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts). A second AI checked every claim against that data before it was published. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.