Caleb Williams' hamstring is the biggest variable in a game the Chicago Bears are favored to win on the road against a Green Bay Packers team still searching for consistency.
Game details
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where | Lambeau Field |
| TV | Fox |
| Line | Chicago Bears -1.5 | O/U 46.5 (market view) |
| Chicago Bears record | 3-1 |
| Green Bay Packers record | 2-2 |
Overview
The Bears roll into Lambeau Field at 3-1 and winners of two straight, having outscored opponents 112-65 on the season. Chicago throttled the New York Jets 23-12 last week and demolished the Philadelphia Eagles 27-7 the week before that. The only blemish was a 3-9 dud against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 2, but a 59-37 track meet against the Carolina Panthers in Week 1 shows this offense can go nuclear when it's clicking.
Green Bay sits at 2-2 and enters on a one-game winning streak after grinding out a 17-14 win at Tampa Bay. The Packers have been streaky — a 20-17 escape over the Jets sandwiched between a 35-14 blowout loss to Atlanta and a 39-22 defeat in Minnesota to open the year. Green Bay's point differential, 73 scored to 105 allowed, tells the story of a team that hasn't put together four complete quarters very often.
Chicago gets the nod here, and it's not close on paper. The Bears have scored more and allowed less across four weeks, and their offense has shown multiple gears. Green Bay's defense has leaked points all season, and unless Jordan Love and this offense find a rhythm they haven't shown outside the Tampa Bay win, Chicago's two-game streak should become three.
Key players
Caleb Williams is questionable with a hamstring issue, but he's still the engine of this Bears offense and projects for 19.5 DraftKings points if he plays.
D'Andre Swift becomes the clear workhorse in the Bears backfield with Kyle Monangai sidelined, and he's projected for 11.0 points.
Luther Burden III gives Chicago a juice play in the passing game, with a 10.0-point projection reflecting a steady role.
Jordan Love has to be sharper than he's been most of the season for Green Bay to keep pace, and he projects for 14.0 points.
Christian Watson leads the Packers skill group with an 11.0-point projection and will need to win his matchups downfield for Green Bay to stay in this one.
Keys to the game
Chicago needs clarity on Caleb Williams early and has to lean on the ground game behind D'Andre Swift if the hamstring limits him.
The Bears defense has to force Green Bay into obvious passing downs and make Jordan Love beat them with his arm rather than let the Packers establish any rhythm.
Chicago can't repeat the Week 2 letdown against Minnesota — this offense has to find the end zone early and often against a Packers defense that's allowed 105 points through four games.
Fantasy angles
Start Caleb Williams if he's cleared Sunday — the questionable tag is the swing factor, but a healthy Williams gives Chicago its highest offensive outlay against a defense that's been generous all year.
Sit Kyle Monangai outright. He's out with a thumb injury and won't factor into this game plan at all.
Start D'Andre Swift with confidence. With Monangai out, he's the lead back in Chicago's offense and projects for 11.0 points in a favorable matchup.
Start Luther Burden III as a flex option. His 10.0-point projection reflects a real role in this passing attack against a Packers secondary that's been picked apart.
Cairo Santos is a streamable kicker option projected at 8.6 points behind an offense that should move the ball well enough to keep him busy.
Prediction
The market has this one at Bears 24, Packers 23, with Chicago favored by 1.5 and the total set at 46.5. That lines up with how these two teams have played: a Bears offense capable of scoring in bunches against a Packers defense that's allowed over a hundred points already this season, with Green Bay's own offense good enough to keep it within a possession. Expect a tight finish at Lambeau, with Chicago's superior point differential and two-game streak carrying them to the one-point edge the market projects.
Injury report
| Player | Team | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | RB | Out |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | QB | Questionable |
| Keyshaun Elliott | Chicago Bears | LB | Out |
| Kyler Gordon | Chicago Bears | CB | Questionable |
| Noah Sewell | Chicago Bears | LB | Questionable |
| Shemar Turner | Chicago Bears | DT | Questionable |
| Aaron Banks | Green Bay Packers | OG | Doubtful |
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | RB | Out |
| Jager Burton | Green Bay Packers | C | Questionable |
| Jacob Monk | Green Bay Packers | C | Doubtful |
| Savion Williams | Green Bay Packers | WR | Out |
| Anthony Campbell | Green Bay Packers | DT | Questionable |
| Javon Hargrave | Green Bay Packers | DT | Questionable |
Depth chart
| Pos | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|
| QB | Caleb Williams |
| RB | D'Andre Swift, Kyle Monangai |
| WR | Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III, Kalif Raymond |
| TE | Colston Loveland |
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | Wk4 W 23-12 vs New York Jets, Wk3 W 27-7 vs Philadelphia Eagles, Wk2 L 3-9 vs Minnesota Vikings |
In this story
- Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
- Chicago Bears
- Green Bay Packers
- Aaron Banks
- Anthony Campbell
- Cairo Santos
- Caleb Williams
- Chris Brooks
- Christian Watson
- Colston Loveland
- D'Andre Swift
- Jacob Monk
- Jager Burton
- Javon Hargrave
- Jordan Love
- Kalif Raymond
- Keyshaun Elliott
- Kyle Monangai
- Kyler Gordon
- Luther Burden III
- Noah Sewell
- Rome Odunze
- Savion Williams
- Shemar Turner
Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.