The New York Jets are favored at home against a team that's won three straight, and that tells you everything about how shaky this season has gotten for both sides.
Game details
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where | MetLife Stadium |
| TV | CBS |
| Line | New York Jets -2.5 | O/U 38.5 (market view) |
| Cleveland Browns record | 3-1 |
| New York Jets record | 1-3 |
Overview
The New York Jets limp into Sunday at 1-1 on the season... actually 1-3, losers of three straight, while the Cleveland Browns ride a three-game winning streak at 3-1. Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium, airing on CBS, with cloudy skies, 65 degrees, 12 mph wind and an 89 percent chance of precipitation in the forecast. That's a wet, blustery afternoon that could knock down the passing numbers on both sides.
New York's recent form has been brutal: a 12-23 road loss to the Chicago Bears in Week 4, a 24-31 road loss to the Detroit Lions in Week 3, and a 17-20 home loss to the Green Bay Packers in Week 2. Their only win came in Week 1, 23-10 over the Tennessee Titans. Cleveland, meanwhile, has strung together wins over the Pittsburgh Steelers (27-24, home, Thursday, October 1), the Carolina Panthers (21-18, home) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (23-19, road) after dropping their opener 10-34 to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jets have scored 76 points and allowed 84; the Browns have scored 81 and allowed 95, so neither offense has been explosive.
The market has New York favored by 2.5 with a total of 38.5, which is a low number that lines up with both offenses struggling to find the end zone. Cleveland's backup quarterback situation is shaky with Dillon Gabriel out with a back injury, leaving Deshaun Watson as the clear starter, while the Jets are banged up at the skill spots. New York gets the nod here simply because this is a home game they need, but a three-game losing streak against a three-game winning streak is a real tossup on paper.
Key players
Geno Smith is the engine for the Jets offense and projects for 13.0 DraftKings points, and he needs a clean pocket in that wind to keep this competitive.
Garrett Wilson is New York's top target and projects for 11.0 points, making him the one Jets skill player defenses have to account for on every down.
Deshaun Watson takes every snap for Cleveland with Dillon Gabriel out, and he projects as the highest-scoring player in this game at 17.0 points.
Quinshon Judkins leads Cleveland's run game and projects for 13.0 points, and with Mason Graham and two other Browns defensive tackles out, the Jets need their front seven to hold up against him.
Harold Fannin Jr. is the Browns' top tight end look and projects for 10.5 points, giving Watson a safety valve underneath when the weather makes deep throws risky.
Keys to the game
Protect Geno Smith up front and establish the run with Braelon Allen, because Breece Hall is out and New York can't live on one read in the wind.
Make the Browns one-dimensional by shutting down Quinshon Judkins between the twenties, since Cleveland's offense slows fast when it has to throw on every down.
Win the field position and kicking battle, because with Jason Sanders and Andre Szmyt both projected around the same range, this could come down to who flips the field in the rain.
Fantasy angles
Start Garrett Wilson with confidence at 11.0 projected points; he's the clear focal point of the Jets passing game regardless of weather.
Sit Breece Hall, who is out with a quadriceps injury, and expect Braelon Allen to soak up the early-down work in the backfield.
Sit Adonai Mitchell, also out this week, which further concentrates the Jets' passing-game touches on Wilson and the tight end spot.
Geno Smith is a cautious streaming option at best at 13.0 points given the 89 percent precipitation chance and 12 mph wind working against the deep ball.
Jason Sanders is a reasonable floor play at kicker, projected for 7.6 points, in a game that both books and the weather suggest will be low-scoring and field-goal heavy.
Prediction
The market lists this one at Jets 21, Browns 18, and that split makes sense: New York gets the slight home nod in a sloppy, rain-affected game where red-zone trips are going to be scarce for both sides. Watson and Judkins give Cleveland enough juice to keep it tight, but the Jets' home field and the Browns' banged-up defensive tackle room are enough to tip this one New York's way by the final field goal.
Injury report
| Player | Team | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Gabriel | Cleveland Browns | QB | Out |
| Teven Jenkins | Cleveland Browns | OG | Out |
| Carsen Ryan | Cleveland Browns | TE | Out |
| Tylan Wallace | Cleveland Browns | WR | Out |
| Kalia Davis | Cleveland Browns | DT | Out |
| Mason Graham | Cleveland Browns | DT | Out |
| Mike Hall Jr. | Cleveland Browns | DT | Out |
| Breece Hall | New York Jets | RB | Out |
| Adonai Mitchell | New York Jets | WR | Out |
| Dylan Parham | New York Jets | OG | Out |
| Tim Patrick | New York Jets | WR | Questionable |
| Kingsley Enagbare | New York Jets | LB | Questionable |
| Kiko Mauigoa | New York Jets | LB | Out |
| Will McDonald IV | New York Jets | DE | Questionable |
Depth chart
| Pos | New York Jets |
|---|---|
| QB | Geno Smith |
| RB | Breece Hall, Braelon Allen |
| WR | Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell, Isaiah Williams |
| TE | Kenyon Sadiq |
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| New York Jets | Wk4 L 12-23 vs Chicago Bears, Wk3 L 24-31 vs Detroit Lions, Wk2 L 17-20 vs Green Bay Packers |
In this story
- Cleveland Browns at New York Jets
- Cleveland Browns
- New York Jets
- Adonai Mitchell
- Andre Szmyt
- Braelon Allen
- Breece Hall
- Carsen Ryan
- Deshaun Watson
- Dillon Gabriel
- Dylan Parham
- Garrett Wilson
- Geno Smith
- Harold Fannin Jr.
- Isaiah Williams
- Jason Sanders
- Kalia Davis
- Kenyon Sadiq
- Kiko Mauigoa
- Kingsley Enagbare
- Mason Graham
- Mike Hall Jr.
- Quinshon Judkins
- Teven Jenkins
- Tim Patrick
- Tylan Wallace
- Will McDonald IV
Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.