The Atlanta Falcons catch Baltimore at the right moment, hosting a Ravens team that just lost Lamar Jackson to an ankle injury.
Game details
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET |
| Where | Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
| TV | NBC |
| Line | Atlanta Falcons -3 | O/U 43.5 (market view) |
| Baltimore Ravens record | 3-1 |
| Atlanta Falcons record | 2-2 |
Overview
The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) host the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) on Sunday, October 11, 2026, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff at 8:20 PM ET on NBC. Both teams ride two-game winning streaks into the matchup, though Atlanta's road to .500 included a lopsided 3-34 loss to Carolina sandwiched between wins over Green Bay (35-14) and New Orleans (45-24).
Baltimore has outscored opponents 116-96 on the year and strung together wins over Tennessee (24-18) and Dallas (34-31), but shows up in Atlanta without Lamar Jackson, who is out with an ankle injury. Derrick Henry still anchors that backfield, and Zay Flowers is questionable with a foot issue, so whoever lines up under center won't have his top perimeter weapon at full strength either.
The betting market has Atlanta favored by three points with a total of 43.5, and the market's own score projects a 23-20 Falcons win. That lines up with the matchup on paper: a Ravens offense built around Jackson's legs and improvisation loses a layer when he's out, while Atlanta gets to play a desperate Baltimore defense at home with a two-game streak of its own. The edge goes to the Falcons here, mostly because losing Jackson changes everything about how Baltimore has to attack.
Key players
Bijan Robinson is Atlanta's engine on offense and projects for 24.5 DraftKings points, the highest number on either roster this week.
Derrick Henry remains Baltimore's workhorse and the player most likely to keep the Ravens competitive with Jackson sidelined.
Drake London is Atlanta's clear number one target and a projected 15.0-point option for Michael Penix Jr.
Zay Flowers is questionable with a foot injury and his availability will shape how much juice Baltimore's passing game has left without Jackson.
Michael Penix Jr. runs Atlanta's offense and projects for 14.0 points, a number that could climb if Baltimore's banged-up defense can't get consistent pressure.
Keys to the game
Atlanta needs to feed Bijan Robinson early and often, especially near the goal line, since he's the most efficient weapon on the field in this game.
The Falcons have to protect Michael Penix Jr. up front, which matters more with Jake Matthews listed as questionable at tackle with a groin injury.
Atlanta's defense should lean into making Baltimore one-dimensional, forcing whoever starts at quarterback to throw into a banged-up receiving corps rather than letting Derrick Henry control the clock.
Fantasy angles
Start Bijan Robinson with confidence: a 24.5-point projection and clear bell-cow usage make him the easiest call on either roster this week.
Drake London is a solid start at 15.0 points as Atlanta's top target, and that role doesn't change regardless of who's throwing him the ball on the other side.
Michael Penix Jr. is a reasonable streaming option at 14.0 points, with his upside tied to how much a shorthanded Baltimore defense can actually pressure him.
Brian Robinson Jr. is more of a touchdown-dependent flex at 10.5 points behind Bijan Robinson's workload, so treat him as a bench piece unless the game turns into a blowout.
Nick Folk at 8.5 points is streamable in deeper formats but shouldn't be a priority add with better options available at kicker.
Prediction
The market's score has the Atlanta Falcons winning 23-20 over the Baltimore Ravens, and that final margin makes sense given the circumstances. Atlanta gets to play at home against a Ravens team that just lost its starting quarterback, and Bijan Robinson gives the Falcons a workhorse capable of controlling tempo and finishing drives. Baltimore still has enough talent with Derrick Henry to keep it a one-score game, but losing Lamar Jackson is the kind of change that tips a close matchup toward the home team.
Injury report
| Player | Team | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | WR | Questionable |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | QB | Out |
| Andrew Vorhees | Baltimore Ravens | OG | Questionable |
| Trey Hendrickson | Baltimore Ravens | LB | Out |
| Marlon Humphrey | Baltimore Ravens | CB | Questionable |
| Cam Jurgens | Baltimore Ravens | C | Out |
| Yasir Abdullah | Atlanta Falcons | LB | Out |
| Jake Matthews | Atlanta Falcons | OT | Questionable |
| Divine Deablo | Atlanta Falcons | LB | Questionable |
| Samson Ebukam | Atlanta Falcons | DE | Questionable |
| Za'Darius Smith | Atlanta Falcons | DE | Questionable |
Depth chart
| Pos | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|
| QB | Michael Penix Jr. |
| RB | Bijan Robinson, Brian Robinson Jr. |
| WR | Drake London, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus |
| TE | Kyle Pitts Sr. |
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | Wk4 W 45-24 vs New Orleans Saints, Wk3 W 35-14 vs Green Bay Packers, Wk2 L 3-34 vs Carolina Panthers |
In this story
- Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons
- Atlanta Falcons
- Baltimore Ravens
- Andrew Vorhees
- Bijan Robinson
- Brian Robinson Jr.
- Cam Jurgens
- Derrick Henry
- Divine Deablo
- Drake London
- Jahan Dotson
- Jake Matthews
- Kyle Pitts Sr.
- Lamar Jackson
- Marlon Humphrey
- Michael Penix Jr.
- Nick Folk
- Olamide Zaccheaus
- Samson Ebukam
- Trey Hendrickson
- Yasir Abdullah
- Za'Darius Smith
- Zay Flowers
Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.