The Patriots ride a one-game win streak into Sunday looking to knock off a Raiders team that's lost four straight games it was supposed to control.
Game details
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where | Gillette Stadium |
| TV | CBS |
| Line | New England Patriots -3.5 | O/U 45.5 (market view) |
| Las Vegas Raiders record | 3-1 |
| New England Patriots record | 2-2 |
Overview
New England sits at 2-2 and has won its last game, a 29-26 road win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 4. Las Vegas comes in at 3-1 but limps in on a one-game losing streak after a 27-30 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Patriots have been wildly inconsistent, following a 20-3 home win over the Pittsburgh Steelers with a 6-35 blowout loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars the very next week.
The scoring numbers tell two different stories. Las Vegas has put up 115 points this season against 84 allowed, the kind of profile that suggests a team that can get into shootouts and win them, as it did in back-to-back wins over the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Chargers. New England has scored just 65 points while allowing 77, a much shakier offensive output that leans on its defense to keep games close, like it did against Pittsburgh.
The market has New England favored by 3.5 with a total of 45.5, and that lines up with the win streak narrative over the Raiders' raw record. This game kicks off Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Gillette Stadium, with cloudy conditions, 61 degrees and light wind expected, nothing that should mess with either passing game.
Key players
Brock Bowers is the engine of this Raiders offense and projects for 17.0 DraftKings points, the highest of anyone in this game.
Drake Maye needs to build on the win streak and carries a 16.0 point projection for the Patriots.
Kirk Cousins has to keep finding Bowers and the rest of this Raiders passing attack, projected for 15.5 points.
Romeo Doubs is New England's top receiving threat in this one at an 11.0 point projection.
Ashton Jeanty is questionable with an ankle injury, and his health will shape how much Las Vegas can lean on the ground game, with a 12.5 point projection if he goes.
Keys to the game
New England has to find a way to slow down Brock Bowers, who is Las Vegas's clear number one weapon and the player defenses have to account for on every snap.
The Patriots need Drake Maye to play like the guy who helped beat Buffalo, not the guy who managed six points against Jacksonville.
New England's banged-up secondary, already down Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis III, cannot afford to let Kirk Cousins pick it apart through the air.
Fantasy angles
Start Drake Maye with confidence here, his 16.0 point projection reflects a Patriots offense coming off a win and trying to build momentum.
Romeo Doubs is a solid lineup piece at his 11.0 point projection as New England's top wideout option.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a risky start given his questionable knee status and a modest 9.0 point projection, treat him as touchdown-dependent at best.
Mack Hollins is out with a calf injury, so he's an obvious sit regardless of his 7.0 point projection on the card.
Andy Borregales is a streaming option only, his 7.9 point projection puts him in the lower tier of kickers this week.
Prediction
The market sets this one at New England Patriots 25, Las Vegas Raiders 21, and that score fits the shape of both teams right now. The Patriots get credit for the current win streak and home field, while the Raiders' defense, which has already allowed 84 points this season, gets dinged for letting a shootout happen. Expect a tight, low-margin finish that goes down to the fourth quarter.
Injury report
| Player | Team | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | RB | Questionable |
| Jalen Nailor | Las Vegas Raiders | WR | Out |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. | Las Vegas Raiders | WR | Out |
| Trey Zuhn III | Las Vegas Raiders | C | Out |
| Reggie Gilliam | New England Patriots | FB | Out |
| Mack Hollins | New England Patriots | WR | Out |
| Morgan Moses | New England Patriots | OT | Questionable |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | New England Patriots | RB | Questionable |
| Christian Barmore | New England Patriots | DT | Questionable |
| Channing Canada | New England Patriots | CB | Out |
| Carlton Davis III | New England Patriots | CB | Out |
| Christian Elliss | New England Patriots | LB | Questionable |
| Christian Gonzalez | New England Patriots | CB | Out |
| Dre'Mont Jones | New England Patriots | DE | Questionable |
Depth chart
| Pos | New England Patriots |
|---|---|
| QB | Drake Maye |
| RB | Rhamondre Stevenson, TreVeyon Henderson |
| WR | Romeo Doubs, DeMario Douglas, Efton Chism III |
| TE | Hunter Henry |
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| New England Patriots | Wk4 W 29-26 vs Buffalo Bills, Wk3 L 6-35 vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Wk2 W 20-3 vs Pittsburgh Steelers |
In this story
- Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots
- Las Vegas Raiders
- New England Patriots
- Andy Borregales
- Ashton Jeanty
- Brock Bowers
- Carlton Davis III
- Channing Canada
- Christian Barmore
- Christian Elliss
- Christian Gonzalez
- DeMario Douglas
- Dont'e Thornton Jr.
- Drake Maye
- Dre'Mont Jones
- Efton Chism III
- Hunter Henry
- Jalen Nailor
- Kirk Cousins
- Mack Hollins
- Morgan Moses
- Reggie Gilliam
- Rhamondre Stevenson
- Romeo Doubs
- TreVeyon Henderson
- Trey Zuhn III
Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.