Washington's secondary is in shambles and the Giants smell blood in the rain.
The New York Giants (3-1, W2) travel to face the Washington Commanders (1-3, L1) on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff at 1:00 PM ET on Fox. The Giants are chasing a third straight win, while the Commanders are trying to snap a one-game skid that's left their point differential deep in the red. Washington is favored by 3.5 despite the uglier record, and the total sits at 41.5.
Game details
| When | Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where | Northwest Stadium |
| TV | Fox |
| Line | Washington Commanders -3.5 | O/U 41.5 (market view) |
| New York Giants record | 3-1 |
| Washington Commanders record | 1-3 |
The matchup
New York has won three of its last four, including a 36-24 win over the Arizona Cardinals, a grind-it-out 12-7 win over the Tennessee Titans, and a 28-20 win over the Dallas Cowboys. The lone blemish was a 6-28 blowout loss to the Los Angeles Rams. The Giants have scored 82 points and allowed 79 on the season, a tight margin that fits a team built on close games.
Washington's season has gone the other way. The Commanders are coming off a 13-30 loss to the Indianapolis Colts and have been outscored 122-88 overall, a gap that shows up most on defense. Their lone win came in a 33-31 shootout with the Seattle Seahawks. Rain is in the forecast with wind around 14 mph and a 70 percent chance of precipitation, conditions that could make a shootout less likely and put extra weight on ball security and the run game.
Key matchups
Jameis Winston and the Giants passing game get a banged-up Washington secondary missing multiple safeties. Malik Nabers is the headline target and should see heavy work against a Commanders defense that's already surrendered 122 points on the year.
On the ground, Cam Skattebo and Najee Harris give New York a two-man backfield that can lean on the run if the rain limits the passing attack. For Washington, Jayden Daniels has to try to replicate his damage from the Seattle shootout without his top wideout, Stefon Diggs, who's out. Terry McLaurin is questionable, which would leave Washington's receiving corps thin against a Giants defense that's held up well enough to keep New York in every game but one this year.
Injuries that matter
The Giants will be without defensive end Chauncey Golston (neck) and safety Jason Pinnock (concussion), both ruled out.
Washington's injury list is far heavier. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs (hamstring) and quarterback Marcus Mariota (knee) are both out, and Terry McLaurin (hamstring) is questionable, which could leave Jayden Daniels without his top two pass-catching options. The defense is hit even harder: safeties Percy Butler, Nick Cross and Tyler Owens are all out, along with defensive end Charles Omenihu, while cornerback Trey Amos, running back Jeremy McNichols and defensive end Deatrich Wise Jr. are all questionable.
Fantasy angles
Jayden Daniels projects for 17.0 DraftKings points and remains a strong start even with his receiving corps banged up, since he can still create with his legs.
Malik Nabers projects for 10.0 points and should be in line for a heavy target share against a Washington secondary that's lost three safeties.
Jameis Winston also projects for 10.0 points, a number that looks reachable if Nabers and the run game keep drives alive in the rain.
Cam Skattebo projects for 9.5 points and is a safe flex play given the expected lean on the ground game.
Rachaad White projects for 8.0 points for Washington and could see added volume if the Commanders try to shorten the game by running more in the rain.
The pick
The market has Washington favored by 3.5 with a projected score of Commanders 23, Giants 19, and a total of 41.5. But that line is hard to square with a Washington defense missing three safeties and an offense now without Stefon Diggs. The Giants have won three of four, keep games close on both sides of the ball, and get a clear mismatch through the air with Malik Nabers against a depleted secondary. Take New York to leave Northwest Stadium with its third straight win.
Injury report
| Player | Team | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Golston | New York Giants | DE | Out |
| Jason Pinnock | New York Giants | S | Out |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | WR | Out |
| Marcus Mariota | Washington Commanders | QB | Out |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | WR | Questionable |
| Jeremy McNichols | Washington Commanders | RB | Questionable |
| Trey Amos | Washington Commanders | CB | Questionable |
| Percy Butler | Washington Commanders | S | Out |
| Nick Cross | Washington Commanders | S | Out |
| Charles Omenihu | Washington Commanders | DE | Out |
| Tyler Owens | Washington Commanders | S | Out |
| Deatrich Wise Jr. | Washington Commanders | DE | Questionable |
Projected starters
| Pos | New York Giants | Washington Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| QB | Jameis Winston | Jayden Daniels |
| RB | Cam Skattebo, Najee Harris | Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Rachaad White |
| WR | Malik Nabers, Malachi Fields, Darnell Mooney | Terry McLaurin, Stefon Diggs, Antonio Williams |
| TE | Isaiah Likely | Chig Okonkwo |
Recent results
| Team | Last games |
|---|---|
| New York Giants | Wk4 W 36-24 vs Arizona Cardinals, Wk3 W 12-7 vs Tennessee Titans, Wk2 L 6-28 vs Los Angeles Rams |
| Washington Commanders | Wk4 L 13-30 vs Indianapolis Colts, Wk3 W 33-31 vs Seattle Seahawks, Wk2 L 20-37 vs Dallas Cowboys |
In this story
- New York Giants at Washington Commanders
- New York Giants
- Washington Commanders
- Antonio Williams
- Cam Skattebo
- Charles Omenihu
- Chauncey Golston
- Chig Okonkwo
- Darnell Mooney
- Deatrich Wise Jr.
- Isaiah Likely
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt
- Jameis Winston
- Jason Pinnock
- Jayden Daniels
- Jeremy McNichols
- Malachi Fields
- Malik Nabers
- Marcus Mariota
- Najee Harris
- Nick Cross
- Percy Butler
- Rachaad White
- Stefon Diggs
- Terry McLaurin
- Trey Amos
- Tyler Owens
Written by Rhett Zone, an AI analyst, from News Hub Fantasy data (schedule, scores, box scores, injuries and depth charts), and checked against that data before it published automatically. Read how we use AI in our editorial standards.