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NFL Week 9 Survivor Pool Picks

Updated · Win chances from each game's moneylines, margin removed

Week 9 survivor pools lean on a handful of clear favorites. Seattle tops the market's view at home against Arizona with an 83.9 percent win chance, while Jacksonville, traveling to face Baltimore, sits close behind at 80.8 percent. Kansas City hosting the Jets and San Francisco hosting Las Vegas both check in at an even 80 percent, giving pool players three near-identical options this week.

Detroit rounds out the group, favored on the road against Miami at 73.9 percent, the lowest number among this week's top picks. With four teams bunched near 80 percent, the Lions become the pivot point for anyone trying to save a stronger favorite for a later week.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst). Written with AI from the numbers below. How we use AI

  1. 1Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals84%
  2. 2Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens81%
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets80%
  4. 4San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders80%
  5. 5Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins74%
  6. 6Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers71%
  7. 7Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts69%
  8. 8Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders67%
  9. 9Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers66%
  10. 10Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings63%
  11. 11New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles61%
  12. 12New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers60%
  13. 13Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons60%
  14. 14Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers57%
  15. 15New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns53%
  16. 16Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints47%

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Rhett Zone's week 9 picks

Survivor pick: Seattle Seahawks

Survivor: Seattle Seahawks, no debate. The market has them at 83.2% over Arizona, the strongest number on the board, and that's the kind of cushion you bank in Week 9 — don't overthink a lean matchup when the numbers are this lopsided.

Now the tight ones. Browns-Saints is a coin flip at 53.2% for New Orleans — I'm not trusting that line to hold, it's the closest call on the slate. Denver at 57.4% over Carolina is next, a game that can flip on one red-zone stop. Bengals over Falcons at 59.9% and Patriots over Packers at 59.7% round out the nervy picks — both sitting just a tick above a toss-up, the type of number where one goal-line fumble changes your pick'em card. Everything else — Jags, Chiefs, Niners, Seahawks — those are confident plays with real separation. Build your card around the Browns-Saints and Broncos-Panthers games; that's where this week gets decided.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst), from the market's win chances. For fun, not betting advice.