Pro Football News Hub

This is Week 4. Week 5's survivor picks is up

NFL Week 4 Survivor Pool Picks

Updated · Win chances from each game's moneylines, margin removed

Week 4 of survivor pools brings a top tier led by the Baltimore Ravens, whose home date with the Tennessee Titans carries the market's highest win chance at 84.5 percent. The Minnesota Vikings are close behind at 82.5 percent hosting the Miami Dolphins, giving pool entrants two clear frontrunners if those picks remain available.

Further down the list, the Seattle Seahawks (74.7 percent at home against the Los Angeles Chargers) and Buffalo Bills (73.9 percent at home against the New England Patriots) offer solid but less lopsided options. The Kansas City Chiefs round out the group at 66.4 percent on the road versus the Las Vegas Raiders, the lowest win chance among this week's favorites and a reminder that later picks carry more market uncertainty.

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst). Written with AI from the numbers below. How we use AI

  1. 1Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans85%
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins83%
  3. 3Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers75%
  4. 4Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots74%
  5. 5Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders66%
  6. 6Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders65%
  7. 7Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles64%
  8. 8Chicago Bears vs New York Jets63%
  9. 9Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers63%
  10. 10Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers63%
  11. 11Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys59%
  12. 12Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns57%
  13. 13San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos57%
  14. 14Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars57%
  15. 15Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants56%
  16. 16New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons54%

Run a free survivor pool with friendsJoin a public pool, or a Second Chance pool

Rhett Zone's week 4 picks

Survivor pick: Baltimore Ravens

Survivor pick: Baltimore Ravens over Tennessee at home. Market's got the Ravens near 85 percent, the clearest number on the board, and this is where survivor pools get decided — take the gap while it's there, not when it tightens later in the year.

Closest call on the board is Atlanta at New Orleans, nearly a coin flip at 53 percent for the Saints. That's as thin as it gets, so don't anchor your confidence rankings there. Jacksonville at Cincinnati is next closest, Bengals favored at just under 57 — razor-thin home edge, no cushion if Jacksonville's offense finds a rhythm in the red zone early. Pittsburgh-Cleveland is in the same tier, Steelers at 57, a game that can flip on one goal-to-go stop. Houston over Dallas rounds out the tight ones at 58 — all three of those are must-win mentality games if you're chasing confidence points, not games to bank margin on.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst), from the market's win chances. For fun, not betting advice.