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NFL Week 7 Survivor Pool Picks

Updated · Win chances from each game's moneylines, margin removed

Week 7 of survivor season offers one clear top option: the Houston Texans, at home against the Giants, carry the market's highest win chance at 80.6 percent, making them the week's safest pick by a wide margin.

Behind Houston, the field tightens. Minnesota, favored at home over Indianapolis at 71.0 percent, is the next-best number, followed by the Jets hosting Miami at 67.4 percent. Denver, on the road against Arizona, and Dallas, also on the road against Philadelphia, round out the group near 66 percent. None of those three match Houston's cushion, so anyone saving a stronger team for later weeks faces a real trade-off this week.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst). Written with AI from the numbers below. How we use AI

  1. 1Houston Texans vs New York Giants81%
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts71%
  3. 3New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins67%
  4. 4Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals67%
  5. 5Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles66%
  6. 6Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders65%
  7. 7Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints62%
  8. 8Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers62%
  9. 9Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers61%
  10. 10San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons61%
  11. 11Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots59%
  12. 12Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals57%
  13. 13Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs57%
  14. 14Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans53%
  15. 15Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns47%
  16. 16Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens43%

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Rhett Zone's week 7 picks

Survivor pick: Houston Texans

Survivor: Texans, no debate. Market has Houston at 79.2 percent against the Giants, the clearest green light on the slate, and in a game that lopsided Houston dictates who scores inside the 20 all afternoon. Lock it and move on.

Closest calls on the board start with Browns-Titans, basically a coin flip at 54.7 percent for Cleveland. That's the kind of number where whoever controls first-and-goal wins the day, and I'll side with Cleveland's defense forcing field goals when Tennessee stalls near the stripe. Seahawks over Chiefs at 55.6 percent is next, tight enough that one red-zone stop swings it, but I trust Seattle's goal-line unit to bend late. Bears over Patriots at 58.3 percent rounds out the tightest trio. Chicago's the pick, but New England keeping possessions alive near the end zone could make this one sweat into the fourth quarter. Everything else on the card separates by seven points or more in market terms, so those three are where Sunday actually gets decided.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst), from the market's win chances. For fun, not betting advice.