Pro Football News Hub

NFL Week 6 Survivor Pool Picks

Updated · Win chances from each game's moneylines, margin removed

Week 6 of survivor pools leans heavily on a handful of home favorites, and the market's view puts the Rams well out in front. Hosting the Cardinals, Los Angeles carries the week's highest win chance at 85.2 percent, making them the clearest pick for anyone still holding that team in reserve.

Behind them, the Chiefs at home against the Chargers sit at 79.0 percent, with the 49ers against Washington close behind at 76.6 percent. The Patriots and Colts round out the group, each favored at home near the 73 to 74 percent range against the Jets and Titans. None of these numbers are guarantees, just the market's current read on a week with several usable, if not bulletproof, options.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst). Written with AI from the numbers below. How we use AI

  1. 1Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals85%
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers79%
  3. 3San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders77%
  4. 4New England Patriots vs New York Jets74%
  5. 5Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans73%
  6. 6Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders67%
  7. 7Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns66%
  8. 8Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons59%
  9. 9Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos57%
  10. 10Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans57%
  11. 11Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers56%
  12. 12Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys52%
  13. 13Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers51%
  14. 14New Orleans Saints at New York Giants51%
  15. 15Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles49%
  16. 16New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints49%

Run a free survivor pool with friendsJoin a public pool, or a Second Chance pool

Rhett Zone's week 6 picks

Survivor pick: Los Angeles Rams

Survivor pick: Los Angeles Rams over Arizona, and it's not close — the market puts this at 85%, the biggest gap on the board. Arizona's offense has to earn every yard against a Rams defense that shortens the field and forces field goals instead of six, which is exactly how survivor pools get decided. Easy save for the week.

Now the tight ones. Saints-Giants and Panthers-Eagles are both basically coin flips at 51%. I'm siding with New Orleans because road dogs that can finish drives near the goal line swing these margin games, and Philly over Carolina because the Eagles convert red-zone trips into touchdowns more consistently when the game stays inside the opponent's 20. Packers-Cowboys at 52% is the same story — whoever punches it in on short-yardage snaps instead of settling for threes wins that one. Steelers-Bucs at 56% is tighter than the spread suggests too. These low-20s and goal-line reps are where this week gets decided, not the blowouts.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst), from the market's win chances. For fun, not betting advice.