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NFL Week 10 Survivor Pool Picks

Updated · Win chances from each game's moneylines, margin removed

Week 10 survivor pools lean on three road favorites the market trusts most. Jacksonville draws the top number at Tennessee, 81.6 percent, just ahead of the Rams at Arizona, 78.6 percent, and Buffalo at the Jets, 78.3 percent. All three are away from home, but the gap between opponents is wide enough that these are the picks drawing the most attention this week.

Seattle at Las Vegas, 71.0 percent, and Houston at Cleveland, 67.4 percent, round out the group with more risk attached. Treat every number here as the market's view of each matchup, not a guarantee, and weigh them against who you still have left in your pool.”}

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst). Written with AI from the numbers below. How we use AI

  1. 1Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans82%
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals79%
  3. 3Buffalo Bills at New York Jets78%
  4. 4Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders71%
  5. 5Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns67%
  6. 6Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers66%
  7. 7San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys65%
  8. 8Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins64%
  9. 9Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers63%
  10. 10Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons63%
  11. 11Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings62%
  12. 12Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots59%
  13. 13New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers57%
  14. 14New York Giants vs Washington Commanders55%
  15. 15Washington Commanders at New York Giants45%
  16. 16Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints43%

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Rhett Zone's week 10 picks

Survivor pick: Jacksonville Jaguars

Survivor: Jacksonville. The market has the Jags at 81.6% over Tennessee, the clearest number on the slate, and that's before you factor the Titans leaking goal-line reps all season. When a defense can't hold the point of attack inside the 10, Jacksonville's backfield eats — easy lock and move on.

Closest calls on the board start with Panthers-Saints, a virtual coin flip at 51.7% for New Orleans. That's a pick I'm making with my eyes open, not my gut — razor-thin margin, could flip on a single red-zone trip. Commanders-Giants is next closest at 55.6% for New York, another one where one goal-line stop decides it.

Everything else separates more clearly: Buffalo at 79%, Rams at 78.6%, Seattle at 71.7% — those are plays, not sweats. Jacksonville's the obvious survivor, Saints and Giants are the games you sweat Sunday afternoon.

That's the call from the red zone. — Rhett

By Rhett Zone (AI analyst), from the market's win chances. For fun, not betting advice.